Dutch Warming

02/20/2023 11:30 - Posted by Tom van Leeuwen
In the Netherlands, the day-to-day whether depends heavily on the direction the wind is coming from. Being a small country, the wind direction is quite homogeneous for the whole country, specially on higher altitudes where the bulk of heat convection is taking place.

Due to its geographical position, midway between the icy-cold Arctic to the north, the dry and hot Sahara to the south, the Eurasian land-mass to the east and the Atlantic Ocean to the west, every wind direction comes with unique weather characteristics.

North - cold,
East - dry,
South - warm,
West - wet whether.

Over the past 30 years, the Netherlands have warmed quite a lot. In order to explain this fact, the authorities point at the rise in CO2-concentration and its supposed increased greenhouse gas effect. But, as the CO2-concentration rises at the same rate all over the world, why is the warming so much stronger in Western Europe?
If the wind direction is so important for the whether conditions, then why could not the same be true for the longer term climate changes?

Luckily, there is a lot of whether data available for the Netherlands, so father and son Jippe en Han Hoogeveen from the Department of Information and Computing Sciences, Utrecht University, in the Netherlands decided to analyze that data to solve this question.
(Hoogeveen, J., & Hoogeveen, H. (2023). Winds are changing: An explanation for the warming of the Netherlands.International Journal of Climatology,43(1),354–371. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7763)

They disposed of over 180 years of daily whether maps from which high-altitude airflows could be extracted. Taking into account the origin of the air-mass and last-minute turns, that resulted in a set of 24 different whether patterns. This information was used together with wind speed data, solar irradiance, information on the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the CO2-concentration.

They created a computer program to analyze this huge amount of data. It is important to notice, that in this case the resulting model is not meant to predict the future as other climate models do, but only try to interpret and explain the past.

Comparing the 1960-1990 to the 1991-2020 periods, there is a noticeable increase of airflow coming from warmer directions

The results of this investigation are surprising: Comparing the 1960-1990 to the 1991-2020 periods, there is a noticeable increase of airflow coming from warmer directions. The influence of the CO2-concentration is negligible. They tried CO2 sensitivities ranging up to 3°C for a doubling of the CO2-concentration, but the weather patterns were not affected and the CO2-concentration turned out to be insignificant as a climate factor.

Their conclusion is that air-flow is the leading force behind the temperature increase in the Netherlands.

One real-life counterexample disproves any hypothesis, so if this holds for the Netherlands, we can conclude that the role of CO2 in the worldwide climate change is much lower than the governments want us to believe, or even insignificant. Their destructive measures to ban fossil fuels are completely useless as lowering the CO2 emissions will have no effect on the worldwide temperatures at all.

CO2 is beneficial for life on Earth and burning fossil fuels give the poor countries a fair change to develop into first-world countries, caring for the environment, as we all want to do.

Tom van Leeuwen, February, 20th, 2023.


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The fingerprints of the greenhouse effect

The hypothesis of "man-made climate change" tells us that the increase in the concentration of CO2 enhances the greenhouse effect of the atmosphere and has global warming as a final result.

Since the beginning of the industrialized era around 1850, man emits relatively large amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere through the use of fossil fuels. The consequence of these emissions is that during that period, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere increased sharply from about 300 parts per million to more than 400 ppm, an increase of almost 40%. The average temperature increased in the same period more or less 1.5 °C with a small variation depending on the data source used.

Why did the warming stop?

The political reports of the IPCC are based on the hypothesis that CO2 is the most important control knob of the Earth's temperature. The problem is that this hypothesis does not correspond at all with the empirical data available to science. Forecasts are made using models that are not capable of 'predicting' the past.

Temperature versus CO2 – the big picture

When discussing “Climate Change” it’s good to have an understanding of how the Earth’s climate has changed in the past. That will give us a reference to decide whether the current changes are normal or not.

Global temperatures have varied a lot over the last 500 million years. Depending on the timescale used, the current temperature is either cold or hot, so when you want to know the “normal temperature” you’ll have to indicate what timescale you’re using.

Satellite temperature observations

This month of January 2023, the average satellite temperature published, by Dr. Christy and Dr. Spencer (University Alabama Huntsfield) had a negative deviation, compared with the average monthly measures between 1991 and 2000.

Of course, this value does not mean much, it's definition is full of arbitrary begin and endpoints, but anyway it doesn't sound like a lot of warming has taken place over the past 30 years, and even less "catastrophic warming" we're reading about in the Mainstream Media, newspapers and TV stations.

CO2 saturation

This graph is all you need to understand that CO2 is not the Earth's Climate Control Knob.

On the horizontal axis, we see the Infra-red (IR) spectrum wavelengths, that is like "IR colors" were this kind of radiation visible to the human eye.
The vertical axis shows to energy flux, that is the energy emitted by the Earth, as seen from outer space.

The graph itself shows how the Earth's atmosphere filters the IR radiation emitted by the Earth's surface and the role of the various greenhouse gases in that filtering process. The green line is the filter of the Earth's atmosphere without any greenhouse gases.

Video - Who are the real climate deniers?

The climate has shown many fluctuations during the Holocene. The difference between the highest and lowest average temperature of the past 10 thousand years is about 3 °C.

Climate alarmists, led by the IPCC, are trying to deny this, and understandably so. This variation means that without human influence there was climate change as well.

This undermines their hypotheses and often their jobs depend on it.

Climate change seen from a historical perspective.

Satellite Earth temperature February 2022

The satellite temperature departure measurement for February 2022 is exactly 0° C.

This means that Earth temperature during February 2022 was exactly the same as the average from 1991 to 2020.

Satellites are the best way to have insight into the short-term temperature variations. They measure the whole surface, independent of weather station distribution, Heat Islands, measurement failures, surface condition (land or water).

There is a step-wise increase in temperature, triggered by two very strong El Niño events (1998 and 2016.) The energy that welled up from the deep oceans established a new level in these two ocasions, where the warming paused. This is a natural phenomenon and has nothing to do with CO2, or human activity.

Where is the Climate Emergency? It just does not exist.

Wake up and spread this information to your government!

Tom van Leeuwen, March 1st, 2022.

The H2O greenhouse effect

The IPCC's CO2 hypothesis, with which Western governments try to incite their citizens to group-think, panic and unnecessary measures and taxes, rests in large part on the belief that there is a positive feedback effect between the greenhouse effects of CO2 and water vapor (H2O). A small increase in temperature, caused by the increase in CO2 concentration, would lead to an increase in water vapor concentration and thus increase the H2O greenhouse effect.

This is a misconception. First, positive feedback effects are extremely rare in nature. Furthermore, there is no sensible word to say about the effect that an increase in the H2O greenhouse effect has on the temperature.

Below are three reasons why it is impossible to model this effect.