The Golden Decade

12/21/2019 10:52 - Posted by Tom van Leeuwen
Let's start this upbeat post with a quote from Wikipedia.

"In the past, the vast majority of the world population lived in conditions of extreme poverty. The percentage of the global population living in absolute poverty fell from over 80% in 1800 to 20% by 2015. According to United Nations estimates, in 2015 roughly 734 million people or 10% remained under those conditions."

December 2019. End of the year. End of a decade, the second decade of this century, the second decade of the millennium. Maybe the right moment to evaluate how we're doing?

Well, we're doing great! Humanity is doing great! This has been the best decade so far in human history!
According to the World Bank, this decade created more than 25% of all the wealth ever created in human history. That might be a very abstract statement, but that means that although the world's population grew to over 7 billion people, enough wealth was created to drop the number of individuals living in extreme poverty by half.

Meanwhile, child mortality has been reduced to a third and worldwide life expectancy is up from 69.5 to 72.6 years. Now, that's what I call progress!

All these feats, all this progress, these incredible advances in well-being, wealth and improved living conditions has been possible thanks to the availability of cheap and reliable energy sources. This simply could not have been possible depending only on wind, solar or other sources of intermittent, renewable energy.

Humankind has been blessed with abundant deposits of energy-rich resources that have been built up over hundreds of millions of years, waiting for us to give ourselves this enormous push into prosperity and well-being.

Unfortunately, not everybody understands it this way. Some feel guilty about their own prosperity and want other people to feel the same. They even prefer to undo all the progress in order to ease their guilty feelings even if that would push billions of people back into poverty.
And worse of all, they base their beliefs on unproven hypotheses and models while they ignore real-world data. They prefer dogmas (called "settled science") before open discussion. They rely on propaganda instead of scientific arguments.

That is a regressive way of thinking.

But unfortunately, that's the regressive way of thinking that is spread out on us by the mass media, the regressive way of thinking that is forced upon us by ambitious politicians, governments and even the unelected United Nations. That's the regressive way of thinking that creates a deadlock in our society.

We're about to finish the best decade yet in human history. Unfortunately, some forces desperately try to push us back into misery and poverty.

From now on, try to trust real-world, measured data instead of computer models. Try to rely on your own investigations instead of propaganda. Try to ignore the politicians and the so-called scientists that "adjust" their findings according to the needs of their employers. Try to trust yourself!

We are all unique, independent individuals, voluntarily cooperating with each other. Don't let them intimidate you into collectivism and groupthink.

I wish you all the best for the 2020s!!

Tom van Leeuwen, December 21st, 2019.


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The fingerprints of the greenhouse effect

The hypothesis of "man-made climate change" tells us that the increase in the concentration of CO2 enhances the greenhouse effect of the atmosphere and has global warming as a final result.

Since the beginning of the industrialized era around 1850, man emits relatively large amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere through the use of fossil fuels. The consequence of these emissions is that during that period, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere increased sharply from about 300 parts per million to more than 400 ppm, an increase of almost 40%. The average temperature increased in the same period more or less 1.5 °C with a small variation depending on the data source used.

Why did the warming stop?

The political reports of the IPCC are based on the hypothesis that CO2 is the most important control knob of the Earth's temperature. The problem is that this hypothesis does not correspond at all with the empirical data available to science. Forecasts are made using models that are not capable of 'predicting' the past.

Temperature versus CO2 – the big picture

When discussing “Climate Change” it’s good to have an understanding of how the Earth’s climate has changed in the past. That will give us a reference to decide whether the current changes are normal or not.

Global temperatures have varied a lot over the last 500 million years. Depending on the timescale used, the current temperature is either cold or hot, so when you want to know the “normal temperature” you’ll have to indicate what timescale you’re using.

Madrid - The Urban Heat Island effect

This week, the capital of Spain, Madrid, will receive a lot of worldwide attention because of the 25th meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). 20 Thousand bureaucrats fly to the city to assist the conference.
There will be very little attention to the question whether there is a problem or not while there will be a lot of attention to the question what to do about this supposed problem.

Without any doubt, all fingers will point toward the human influence on the climate, and up to some extent, they will be right! But for the wrong reasons.

Sydney Sea-Level Rise

According to the IPCC CO2-hypothesis, rising CO2-levels leads to warming. That warming supposedly expands sea-water and melts glaciers and polar ice sheets, finally resulting in rising sea-levels. They warn us for catastrophic sea-level rises in the year 2100 and beyond because of this process.

Sydney is strategically located between the Indian, Pacific, and Southern oceans. CO2-levels went up from 300 to 400 parts per million over the past 100 years. What's the impact on Sydney's sea-level?

Democracy? Make your choice!

In recent centuries the power of governments has become stronger and stronger. The governments got involved increasingly deeper into our lives and the citizens, the individuals, have ever less to say about ever more issues.

Climate policy is an excellent example of this interference. The government relies on completely unreliable data, unproven hypotheses, and ideas while the consequences of this interference affect everyone. At present, governments worldwide are about to make cheap and reliable energy sources -that form the basis of our economic prosperity- inaccessible. The results are far-reaching.

Censored and kicked by a Facebook group!

Yesterday I decided to post my Four Interglacials to a Facebook group called "Global Warming Denialism is a Big Oil agenda".

It was an educational experience.

About consensus, "97%", and settled science

There are four misconceptions about science that are commonly used by catastrophic man-made warming advocates. Normally, when you try to start a conversation on the subject, their first reply will be one of these four "arguments".